Monday, November 23, 2009

Week 11 Picks Revisited

Seven green winners, 11 right overall out of 16 games played.

Prediction: Panthers 24 Dolphins 17
Actual: Dolphins 24 Panthers 17
When Ronnie Brown went down, it seemed obvious to some of us that the Dolphins were finished. But, as they showed on Thursday, their defense is solid, and they can run the ball. Ever heard of Ricky Williams?

Prediction: Cowboys 20 Washington 18
Actual: Cowboys 7 Washington 6
I didn't see much of this game, but I can imagine it was beyond ugly. The Cowboys didn't score until late in the 4th quarter, and Shaun Suisham missed two field goals that would have made the difference for Washington.

Prediction: Lions 24 Browns 12
Actual: Lions 38 Browns 37
This was the wildest game of the week, if not technically the 'best.' The Browns bucked all the predictions I made: Their offense dominated the terrible Detriot secondary, and their defense completely laid down against Matthew Stafford.

Prediction: Packers 17 49ers 13
Actual: Packers 30 49ers 24
Green Bay won the game, but might have lost a much larger battle. Aaron Kampman and Al Harris each suffered season (maybe career in the case of Harris) injuries. I agree with those who say that the impact of these injuries is somewhat lessened by the fact that neither was turning out to be a good fit in Dom Capers 3-4 scheme, but losing two veteran standouts can't be underestimated, especially with a defense that has been spotty at times.

Prediction: Steelers 24 Chiefs 14
Actual: Chiefs 27 Steelers 24 OT
"I don't think Kansas City will let them run away with it though"- That was how I summed up my prediction for this game. Well, they sure didn't. When they did get pressure on Ben Roethlisberger, it was big-time pressure. Matt Cassell played a solid game, and in the end, the Steelers defense couldn't make plays when they had to.

Prediction: Giants 29 Falcons 27
Actual: Giants 34 Falcons 31 OT
Maybe my most accurate pick this week.

Prediction: Saints 34 Buccaneers 26
Actual: Saints 38 Buccaneers 7
OK, the Saints did get a breather.

Prediction: Bills 16 Jaguars 13
Actual: Jaguars 18 Bills 15
The spirit of my pick was very correct, but I got the teams wrong. The Bills probably should have won this game, but the mistakes they made in the second half proved critical.

Prediction: Colts 34 Ravens 33
Actual: Colts 17 Ravens 15
It turned out that Ravens did summon that old defensive swagger...too bad they could only score field goals. It's getting to the point for Baltimore where being competitive is no longer cutting it.

Prediction: Vikings 28 Seahawks 17
Actual: Vikings 35 Seahawks 9
Minnesota's defense turned in their best game of the season so far.

Prediction: Cardinals 27 Rams 14
Actual: Cardinals 21 Rams 13
Even without Kurt Warner for a long stretch of the game, the Cardinals were able to hold off the lowly-Rams.

Prediction: Patriots 30 Jets 10
Actual: Patriots 31 Jets 14
This is the other candidate for best pick for Week 11. Not a lot to say about this game; kind of hard to believe that the Jets were once 3-0, with a head-to-head victory over New England in hand.

Prediction: Bengals 20 Raiders 7
Actual: Raiders 20 Bengals 17
It's mostly a fluke the way the game ended, but as we always say, if the Raiders hadn't been in a situation where it was possible to kick the game-winning field goal with 17 seconds left, it wouldn't have mattered if the Bengals dropped a fluky-fumble

Prediction: Chargers 27 Broncos 17
Actual: Chargers 32 Broncos 3
Chris Simms didn't really get a chance. He was yanked to make way for the hobbled Kyle Orton, who sparked the offense for all of 47 seconds. Yikes.

Prediction: Eagles 34 Bears 24
Actual: Eagles 24 Bears 20
Jay Cutler only threw one interception...and it was on the final Bears possession, when they had a chance to drive for a game-winning touchdown. Plus, he over threw three wide open receivers that had nothing between themselves and the end zone. Yuck.

Prediction: Texans 30 Titans 20
Actual: Titans 20 Texans 17
To answer the question about Vince Young being able to play well in four straight games...he played good enough. No turnovers, and the Titans won. Kris Brown and Shaun Suisham should get together this week, and talk missed field goals.

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