Showing posts with label Minnesota Vikings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Minnesota Vikings. Show all posts

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Week 1: Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Today is D-day for Wilson

MINNEAPOLIS (Star Tribune; 9.13.1987) - Today is the first day of the rest of Wade Wilson's life. Today, the defensive line gets taller, the cornerbacks quicker and the ball a whole lot heavier. Today - at least for today - Wade Wilson is the Vikings' No. 1 quarterback.

"Everything changes Sunday," said Wilson.

Everything. There is no more popular man in town than the No. 2 quarterback - with the possible exception of the No. 3 quarterback. For seven long years as a Viking, Wilson always has been one or the other. When you're No. 2 - or No. 3 - you're everybody's darling, especially when No. 1 screws up. When you're No. 2, you are the best quarterback in the world because you have done no wrong. Of course, the reason you have done no wrong is because you haven't been on the field much, if at all. No matter.

That is what makes you so attractive. You're unsullied, unspoiled, perfect. No matter what number you wear, you're a 10. And you never get booed. Until you become No. 1 and overthrow a receiver in the end zone by 20 yards.

That is the nature of this game and Wilson knows it. Today, there will be no place to hide.

"Sunday, everything changes because it all goes from expectations to producing," he said. "People have been wanting me to play off and on the last couple years, but they really can't say I do good because I haven't really played that much when it counts. Now it's time to show that I can play."

Wilson knows he played very well during the preseason. He completed 63 percent of his passes, threw for five touchdowns and had a quarterback rating (128.1) that jumps right off the board. In the last game of last season, he passed for 339 yards and three touchdowns. He also knows that the real test starts today in the regular-season opener against the Detroit Lions. The preseason and the last game of the 1986 season, when the Vikings already were eliminated from the playoffs, don't mean a thing. "I look at this as an opportunity," he said.

An opportunity to start a quarterback controversy?

Wilson, a small-town boy from Commerce, Texas (pop. 11,000), son of a high school football coach turned elementary school principal, is too nice a guy to start one with words. In print, he says all the right things, that he knows the injured Tommy Kramer, coming off a Pro Bowl year, is supposed to be No. 1. But make no mistake: On the field, Wilson would like nothing better than to make it excruciatingly hard for coach Jerry Burns to pull the trigger and put Kramer back in the lineup. And if Wilson plays as splendidly as he did in the preseason, I'm not so sure Burns shouldn't leave well enough alone.

"If we were going like gangbusters and the club had a certain chemistry and success, I certainly wouldn't do anything to change it," said Burns. "There is nothing in my contract or Tommy's contract that says when Tommy is ready to go that he automatically steps into the breach."

There is a certain irony to the fact that the man Wilson backs up is named Tommy Kramer. Ten years ago a high school senior named Wade Wilson, looking for a place to go to college, visited Rice University, where a senior quarterback named Tommy Kramer was setting all sorts of passing records. Wilson probably would have loved to succeed Kramer. One problem. Rice never called back.

So Wilson attended tiny East Texas State, an NAIA school in his home town. As a senior, Wilson led the team to a third-place finish in the national playoffs. That was seven years ago. That also was the last time he started in a season opener.

The Vikings selected him in the eighth round of the 1981 draft and by rights, Wilson said, they should have cut him after his first training camp. "The way I was playing, I had no business making the team," he said. "That's the honest truth."

Wilson was smart and had great work habits, but he had the touch of a sumo wrestler. "When a back would come out of the backfield for a pass, he'd damn near knock 'em over," said Burns, who then was the offensive coordinator. Burns thought of Wilson in baseball terms: The kid had a big league arm but needed to learn how to control it.

The thing that may have saved him from the cutting block that first year was that he could punt in emergency situations. So the Vikings, who needed a No. 3 quarterback behind Kramer and Steve Dils, kept him, though for the first three years the coaches considered him very raw.

In time, Wilson developed his touch and impressed the coaches because he never stopped trying to improve, even though he played in only four games in his first three seasons. But once Wilson was ready to show what he could do, he had few opportunities because Kramer was ahead of him.

In six years, Wilson has started only 10 games, always because somebody else was hurt. He is a very young 28. But there have been moments. In 1985, he started against the Philadelphia Eagles. "I was pretty excited because this was my chance to do something," he said. "But I had a terrible first half and we did absolutely nothing. Nothing goes right and I get pulled out of the game. So I'm frustrated and now I'm mad because even though I played bad, this was my first game and I didn't think I deserved to get pulled after just one half.

"So then Steve comes in and he was just as bad and it was in the fourth quarter and kind of cold and raining and I'm sitting on the sidelines, pouting, and Bud (Grant) says, `You're going back in.' And I just looked at him like, I can't believe this. I was mad enough that he pulled me and I was real mad he was going to put me back in and embarrass me more."

Wilson went back in with the Vikings losing 23-0. Final score: Minnesota 28, Philadelphia 23. "That was a lot of fun," Wilson said.

He would like to have more fun today.

Burns has one worry about his No. 1 quarterback for the day. "He has a little bit more of a nervous nature than Tommy," Burns said. "I worry a little bit about that. When Tommy throws an interception, he walks off and says, what the hell? I'll get it next time. He knows the best of them make mistakes. But Wade's not yet buoyed by that kind of confidence. Wade's never had the total fame of a Tommy Kramer. He's never hit the home run."

Then again, he's never had the chance.

At the moment, Wilson can't even enjoy the traditional benefits of being the No. 2 quarterback. In Minnesota, understand, the current No. 3 quarterback may be even more popular than the No. 2 guy. The fact that Rich Gannon has not played one down in an NFL regular-season game doesn't seem to matter. He is shiny and new and the way he runs, he reminds people of Francis Tarkenton. Wilson shrugs. "Sometimes," he said, "you feel caught in a crunch. You've got a Pro Bowler in front of you and a wonder kid behind you."

But for today, and maybe longer, Wade Wilson is the man.# By Dan Barreiro

September 13, 19871234Final
Detroit Lions6103019
Minnesota Vikings01021334

MINNEAPOLIS (AP; 9.13.1987) - Anthony Carter is the Minnesota Vikings' best receiver, even if he tried to prove otherwise during the first 36 1/2 minutes of Minnesota's 1987 season.

"You don't expect an Anthony Carter to drop two passes like that, that's for sure," Vikings quarterback Wade Wilson said Sunday after his 73-yard touchdown pass to Carter sparked a 21-point third quarter that lifted the Vikings to a 34-19 season-opening NFL victory over the Detroit Lions. "But he was the key in us turning the game around. He's a great athlete and he made a great comeback."

Wilson, starting in place of the injured Tommy Kramer, threw three first-half interceptions. But the first two went through Carter's hands before settling in the arms of Detroit defenders.
"It's something that's going to happen in a game," Carter said. "But it happened to me and that's something that doesn't usually happen.

"I just dropped them and Wade got two interceptions real quick. It was my fault."

The miscues helped Detroit build a 16-3 second-quarter lead. Minnesota still trailed 19-10 and had a third-and-18 on its own 27-yard line when Carter beat Duane Galloway _ who had two of Detroit's interceptions _ and Wilson hit Carter in stride.

"It was a blitz and they had man-to-man coverage on Anthony Carter," Wilson said. "You couldn't ask for anything more."

"I didn't play it well," Galloway said. "I should have used my head. I should have gotten a little farther off the ball. That touchdown turned the game around."

Added Lions Coach Darryl Rogers: "We took a chance on blitzing, but we couldn't get to Wilson and Carter beat us."

He said that the Lions played well in the first half, "but ... were unable to sustain it for the full game."

"The fourth-quarter momentum was totally with the Vikings," Rogers said. "It's amazing how well they controlled the ball, expecially after not doing it for 2 1/2 quarters."

Wilson finished with 12 completions in 22 attempts for 248 yards and three touchdowns to overshadow Chuck Long, the Lions' No. 1 draft choice in 1986.

Long was 24-for-38 for 195 yards and a touchdown but was intercepted by Neal Guggemos three plays after Wilson's bomb to Carter. Guggemos' 26-yard return set up D.J. Dozier's 1-yard touchdown run, which put the Vikings ahead for good with 6:30 left in the third.

Detroit failed to advance the football on its next possession and Wilson took advantage with a 24-yard touchdown pass to Leo Lewis, putting the Vikings up 31-19.

Eddie Murray kicked four field goals for Detroit, two of which were set up by interceptions that went through Carter's hands. Detroit's only touchdown, Long's 5-yard pass to Pete Mandley that put Detroit up 16-3 midway through the second quarter, came after Galloway went 30 yards with an interception of a Wilson overthrow.

Minnesota's other points came on field goals of 27 and 22 yards by Chuck Nelson.
In the second half, Wilson completed six of 10 passes for 143 yards. Kramer, who missed the first three weeks of training camp while in treatment for alcohol problems, suffered a pinched nerve in his neck in his first preseason game and is out on a game-to-game basis.

Detroit missed several opportunities to take command of the game in the opening half.

The Lions got inside the Vikings' 10-yard line three times but came up with only Murray field goals of 26, 27 and 24 yards.

After James Griffin's interception, tight end Rob Rubick dropped a pass that would have given the Lions a first down at the 1-yard line. And after Galloway's first interception, Minnesota cornerback Carl Lee wasn't called for interference even though he appeared to have hit Jeff Chadwick in the end zone before the football arrived.

Murray also missed a 54-yard field goal at the end of the first half. In addition, he punted twice, for 46 and 45 yards, after punter Russell Erxleben sustained a groin injury in the second quarter.

Mandley caught seven passes for 79 yards. Detroit fullback James Jones, who terrorized the Vikings for 174 yards in the Lions' season-opening victory last year, led all runners with 58 yards.

Dozier finished with 57 rushing yards and Alfred Anderson 53 for the Vikings.# By Mike Nadel

MINNEAPOLIS (AP; 9.13.1987) - Joey Browner said Monday that he has an agreement with Minnesota Vikings Coach Jerry Burns that he will not play on special teams unless his contract is improved.

Browner, who made the Pro Bowl as a special teams player two years ago and then made the NFL's all-star game again last year as a safety, missed 11 days of training camp in a contract dispute.

Saying he wanted to renegotiate his four-year, $1.375 million contract because it was signed before he became a Pro Bowler at two different spots, Browner threatened to sit out the regular-season opener.

However, Browner did play Sunday in Minnesota's 34-19 victory over the Detroit Lions and earned high marks from defensive coordinator Floyd Peters.

But he didn't play on any of the kicking teams.

"I just played strong safety," Browner said after Monday's practice. "It wasn't a request (not to play on special teams). It was just an understanding I have with Coach Burns. I'm doing what I'm paid to do. And that's play defensive back."

He said he would play on special teams in a crucial situation if Burns asked him to.

"If a game came down to one play and it was a special teams play, I would do it," said Browner, who made a name for himself in the NFL for the aggressive way he covered punts.

He said that contract talks haven't gone well. Vikings General Manager Mike Lynn steadfastly refuses to renegotiate contracts.

Burns didn't want to talk about the situation.

"There's no problem between me and Joey Browner relative to special teams," said the second-year coach, who is popular with most players including Browner. "That's all I'm going to say. Period."

He did add, however, that there are other Vikings who don't play on special teams. He also said that the coaching staff had talked in the offseason about lightening Browner's playing load _ even before the contract dispute began.

"Joey Browner is extremely critical to our defense and I would like to keep him as fresh as I can possibly keep him," Burns said. "If I can keep him fresh and ... keep his involvement in other areas minimal, it would make him a better player. I recognize that he's an excellent special teams player. But you can't take him out there and wear him out."

Neither Burns nor Browner worried about dissension on the team should a punt be returned for a touchdown while Browner was not in the game.

"They're paying other guys just like they're paying me," said Browner, whose spot on the punt coverage team has been taken by rookie Reggie Rutland.

"He's a team player in my book," Burns said. "Maybe we should have (quarterbacks Tommy Kramer and Wade Wilson) cover punts to alleviate any controversy."

Speaking of quarterbacks, Kramer threw lightly during the workout but said he is still far from ready to play unless the Vikings absolutely need him. Kramer, who has a pinched nerve in his neck, watched from the sideline Sunday as Wilson passed for 248 yards and three touchdowns against Detroit.

Kramer said he didn't know if he would feel any better by next Sunday, when the Vikings meet the Los Angeles Rams.

Running back Darrin Nelson, who missed the opener with a knee injury, said he felt better and might be back by Sunday. Cornerback Ike Holt is still doubtful.

Nelson's replacement, top draft choice D.J. Dozier, got a game ball for his performance against the Lions - 12 carries for 57 yards and a touchdown and another touchdown receiving. No. 3 draft choice Henry Thomas, the nose tackle, also received a game ball. Trainer Fred Zamberletti, who has been with the team since its inception in 1961, said he doubted whether two rookies have ever been so honored for one game.# By Mike Nadel

Notes:
Dan Barreiro, and Staff Writer. 1987. Today is D-day for Wilson :[METRO Edition]. Star Tribune, September 13, http://www.proquest.com/ (accessed July 1, 2010).

Mike Nadel. 1987. Sunday, AM cycle, Sports News. Associated Press, September 13.

Mike Nadel. 1987. Monday, AM cycle, Sports News. Associated Press, September 14.

Monday, November 2, 2009

Week 8 Picks Revisited

This week I got 8 greens and 10 of 13 winners correct.

Prediction: Texans 24 Bills 16

Actual: Texans 31 Bills 10
The weather ended up being a non-factor, and the Texans pulled away from the Bills after a terrible fake punt by Buffalo.

Prediction: Bears 27 Browns 17
Actual: Bears 30 Browns 6
Initially, it looked like Chicago would let the Browns hang around--their first three trips into the red zone netted just 9 points--but the Bears pulled away and stayed up big.

Prediction: Cowboys 30 Seahawks 24
Actual: Cowboys 38 Seahawks 17
Tony Romo had another really good game. If he keeps this up, the Cowboys are a real threat in the NFC.

Prediction: Rams 20 Lions 19
Actual: Rams 17 Lions 10
Not pretty at all, but the Rams finally get a win.

Prediction: Ravens 27 Broncos 24
Actual: Ravens 30 Broncos 7
I wasn't expecting the Ravens to have a safe lead the entire game. A huge win for Baltimore in the crowded AFC North

Prediction: Colts 28 49ers 14
Actual: Colts 18 49ers 14
The 49ers defense really stepped up, but the Colts are just too persistent. Even when you contain them, they score enough points to win.

Prediction: Dolphins 31 Jets 20
Actual: Dolphins 30 Jets 25
The Jets didn't do a bad job against Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown, but their special teams completely blew this one.

Prediction: Giants 30 Eagles 20
Actual: Eagles 40 Giants 17
The Giants couldn't stop the big play, and we know that is how the Eagles like to win. What is the deal with DeSean Jackson?

Prediction: Titans 20 Jaguars 13
Actual: Titans 30 Jaguars 13
Jeff Fisher is too good a coach to let the Titans fall to 0-7 against another cellar-dweller like the Jags. Or something like that. Nice, solid game for Vince Young.

Prediction: Chargers 27 Raiders 7
Actual: Chargers 24 Raiders 16
Why can't the Chargers put the Raiders away? Both times this season they've let the Raiders keep to close to the end.

Prediction: Cardinals 24 Panthers 14
Actual: Panthers 34 Cardinals 21
The Panthers are officially the least-predictable team in the league, and the Cardinals are a close second.

Prediction: Vikings 31 Packers 30
Actual: Vikings 38 Packers 26
The Packers had a chance in the second half, but Brett Favre put them away...just like he used to do when he was their quarterback!

Prediction: Falcons 27 Saints 21
Actual: Saints 35 Falcons 27
The Falcons were a team of extremes last night. Make an amazing play to intercept Drew Brees, throw it right to Jabari Greer. Jump on Brees before he can even complete his drop one pay, give him five seconds to throw the next. Neither team played good run defense, but the Saints defensive touchdowns are barely a fluke anymore. How many is that? 17 already?

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Week 5 Ranks

1. Indianapolis: The Colts are playing too well right now and scoring too many points not to be first. Although the Titans do not represent a formidable challenge, the Colts have had a slightly tougher set of opponents than the Giants so far.
2. New York Giants: The Giants just wrapped up three blowouts of three of the worst teams in the NFL. They'll have to dial it up a notch this week against New Orleans.
3. Minnesota: Like New York, the Vikings have played some pretty light teams. The Ravens will not be an easy match-up for the Vikings.
4. New Orleans: The Saints look good even when they have the week off. Darren Sharper loves playing against Eli Manning.
5. Denver: The Broncos defense is really good. Josh McDaniels might be crazier than Mike Singletary in the heat of the moment (who wouldn't be after 4th down penalties extended a Patriots drive twice). Kyle Orton really is not that bad, Bears fans.
6. Atlanta: I thought they had some things to prove. Well, completely dominating the 49ers on both sides of the ball proves a lot.
7. Philadelphia: The Eagles have yet to be put to much of a test, but they are taking care of business.
8. Cincinnati: It is hard not to like a team that plays solid defense, forces turnovers, runs the ball well (Hi, again, Bears fans), and has a solid, experienced quarterback.
9. New England: With a 17-7 lead at halftime, you would expect the Patriots to win. Instead, they went scoreless the rest of the game and lost in overtime. I hesitate to drop the Pats down too far as losing to what is clearly a very good team in a very good game.
10. Baltimore: Two hard losses to two good teams. Add a third against the Vikings this week, and people can start sounding the alarm, but the Ravens are still pretty solid all around, and will be a tough out in the playoffs.
11. Pittsburgh: The Steelers may be a team to watch out for. They seem to be 'getting by' so far, but we know they are capable of playing a lot better than this, and when Troy Polamalu returns, they could start winning easy again.
12. Miami: After their 0-3 start, which included the loss of Chad Pennington forever, I was already writing off the Dolphins. But the fact is that the 'Wildcat' is a truly dynamic and effective offense in the hands of Ronnie Brown, and the Dolphins defense is pretty good too. I think they can win the AFC East this season.
13. New York Jets: After their 3-0 start, I was ready to write off the Jets. I think Mark Sanchez will be a good quarterback, but there is a lot missing right now. And did you see the Dolphins move the ball on Monday night? Wow.
14. San Diego: Like the Steelers, the Chargers almost look like they are biding their time. If they do ever get hot, the Broncos may be looking at another race for the AFC West down the stretch.
15. San Francisco: On the one hand, I don't think we can read too much into their horrible loss to Atlanta (at home). They are still 3-2 in a so-so division, and they still have a very good defense. On the other hand, it isn't (and wasn't) reasonable to have high hopes for a team with a barely-get-you-by quarterback and no other real scoring threat.
16. Chicago: The Bears have two tough road games coming next (at Atlanta and at Cincinnati). If they make it out of that 4-2, that's a huge victory.
17. Dallas: Another team sitting at 3-2 after sneaking past some bad teams. The Cowboys can't survive in the NFC East...unless they get back to running the ball, and find a way to win close games against quality teams (the Chiefs DO NOT count, overtime or not).
18. Green Bay: The Packers have a very good chance to be 4-2--they face Detroit at home and travel to Cleveland--heading into the big Favor rematch at Lambeau field in Week 8. The Packers aren't good enough to look past the Browns and Lions, but they are certainly good enough to beat both easily.
19. Arizona: A huge win over Houston keeps them alive, and the rest of the NFC West isn't looking that hot.
20. Seattle: With Matt Hasselbeck in the line-up, the NFC West becomes a three-team race.
21. Houston: The Texans did their best to get back into a game that saw them fall 21 points behind in the first half, but Matt Schaub's 4th quarter interception sunk them.
22. Jacksonville: I guess that two-game winning streak didn't mean much. What a horrible loss to Seattle (41-0).
23. Carolina: Down 17-2, the Panthers came back to beat Washington. Atlanta and New Orleans will be very tough to catch.
24. Detroit: 24 looks high for a 1-4 team, but the Lions are playing better than those below. They really made Pittsburgh work, and I expect the same in Green Bay this week, where Calvin Johnson should be able to take advantage of the Packers new zone defense, if he is healthy.
25. Washington: Washington is strange: If I could, I would rank them last. Yes, these other seven teams are worse, but Washington just seems like a complete waste this year. Todd Collins should get a chance at quarterback, and I'm not joking.
26. Buffalo: If they can trade Terrell Owens for anything, they should. I wish putting the back-up quarterback in could spark this team, but Ryan Fitzpatrick doesn't present an improvement over Trent Edwards in any area.
27. Tennessee: Like Washington, the Titans are sort of un-rankable. They are bad, that is for sure.
28. Kansas City: Like last year, the Chiefs are fighters if nothing else. They may lose every game this year, but the first half of each game is always interesting.
29. Oakland: Yes, they beat Kansas City. Whatever.
30. Cleveland: Yes, they beat Buffalo. Whatever.
31. Tampa Bay: Yes, they... No, they are just horrible.
32. St. Louis

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

The Vikings Passing Attack Comes Alive

With the Vikings offense playing as well as it has in years, I thought it would be interesting to compare how the passing game has fared through five games the last five seasons (or, essentially, the five years since Daunte Culpepper's last good season, 2004). With help from Pro-Football-Reference, I put together the following:

In 2005, Culpepper had an awful first five (which turned into seven) games before eventually blowing out his knee against Carolina in Week 8. After five games, Minnesota was 1-4, with losses of 37-8 to the Bengals, 30-10 to the Falcons, and 28-3 at the hands of the Bears (the week of the 'Love Boat' scandal). Culpepper was the main culprit in this dismal start. His 12 interceptions and three lost fumbles amounted to an average of three turnovers a game. But, since the Vikings were down and passing a lot, the receptions were high.

2005
G ATT COMP % YARDS TD INT RATING
Culpepper 5 181 113 62.7 1256 4 12 62.8










G REC YARDS AVG TD


Wiggins 5 26 203 7.8 0


Taylor 5 20 252 12.6 2


Moore 5 14 125 8.9 0


Williamson 5 13 201 15.5 2


Robinson 5 12 200 16.7 0



Brad Johnson took over for Culpepper after his 2005 injury and almost led the Vikings to the playoffs. He won the job in 2006 without a challenge, and Johnson and rookie coach Brad Childress led the Vikings to a 3-2 record. Again, the Vikings couldn't manage to score touchdowns, and Johnson had more interceptions than scores. Travis Taylor and Troy Williamson led the team with a modest 18 catches each, but Jermaine Wiggins and Chester Taylor had 17 each, keeping the passing game on about the same pace as in 2005.

2006
G ATT COMP % YARDS TD INT RATING
Johnson 5 170 107 62.9 1128 3 4 78.3










G REC YARDS AVG TD


T. Taylor 5 18 243 13.5 1


Williamson 5 18 256 14.2 0


C. Taylor 5 17 118 609 0


Wiggins 5 17 143 8.4 0


Moore 5 13 90 6.9 0



The 2006 season ended miserably, with rookie Tarvaris Jackson having to playing all four December games (starting two). Jackson was the Vikings starter on opening day in 2007, but only made it two games before being knocked out with an injury. Kelly Holcomb started in games against the Chiefs and Packers, both losses, before Jackson returned in Week 6 and 'led' the team to a 34-31 victory over the Bears at Soldier Field (actually, Adrian Peterson had touchdown runs of 67, 73, and 35 yards; Jackson was 9 of 23 for 136 yards and one touchdown).

The 2-3 Vikings had completed only 77 passes (Brooks Bollinger was 3 out of 4), and Bobby Wade was the only player with more than 11 catches. Again, the Vikings had thrown more interceptions than touchdown passes (3 to 6).

2007
G ATT COMP % YARDS TD INT RATING
Jackson 3 79 39 49.4 465 2 5 49.8
Holcomb 2 67 35 52.2 427 1 1 70.9










G REC YARDS AVG TD


Wade 5 18 203 11.3 0


Rice 5 11 119 10.8 1


Peterson 5 10 175 17.5 1


Shiancoe 5 9 107 11.9 0


Williamson 4 8 134 16.8 1



Again in 2008 the Vikings made a quarterback change within the first month of the season. This time, it was not due to injury, but instead, Jackson's dismal play in the Vikings Week 1 and 2 losses. Gus Frerotte started in Week 3, holding the team team steady through a 20-10 victory over Carolina. After three Frerotte starts, Minnesota was 2-3 (with a third win on the way against Detriot), and, for the first time since Daunte Culpepper's historic 2004 season, they hadn't thrown more interceptions than touchdown passes: Jackson and Frerotte had combined for three touchdowns and three interceptions.

Meanwhile, Bobby Wade and Bernard Berrian were off to quick starts, despite missing one game each, and Visanthe Shiancoe, with two touchdown catches, looked like he was overcoming a 2007 season full of drops.

2008
G ATT COMP % YARDS TD INT RATING
Frerotte 3 107 60 56.1 316 2 2 74.2
Jackson 3 60 31 51.7 692 1 1 65.7










G REC YARDS AVG TD


Wade 4 21 216 10.3 0


Berrian 4 17 305 17.9 1


Shiancoe 5 12 145 12.1 2


Peterson 5 10 61 6.1 0


Taylor 5 9 55 6.1 0



Of course, the below 2009 stats should speak for themselves, especially the touchdowns. The receptions column actually is roughly the same, but the way Favre is spreading the ball around is impressive, and has been a huge factor in the Vikings 5-0 start. Though difficult to quantify, the effect of keeping Adrian Peterson out of the top five receivers on the team should be noted. If the Vikings can continue to have this much success throwing the ball without having to increase Peterson's touches, that should bode well for the rest of the season. (I am among those who thinks Taylor should be getting more carries, but it is hard to argue against giving the ball to the best player in the NFL.)

Favre's passer rating is 26 points higher than the second best five-game mark in the last five years (Johnson in 2006), and his two interceptions are the lowest for the Vikings during the last five years. And hey, just for good measure, Tarvaris Jackson is 4 for 5 for 82 yards, maybe the best five-pass stretch of his career.

2009
G ATT COMP % YARDS TD INT RATING
Favre 5 149 103 69.1 1069 9 2 104.1










G REC YARDS AVG TD


Taylor 5 21 187 8.9 0


Berrian 4 19 216 11.4 1


Harvin 5 18 233 12.9 2


Rice 5 17 233 13.7 2


Shiancoe 5 13 116 8.9 3



Lastly, I thought it would be interesting to see how Brent has done in his first five games each of the last five seasons. Favre has attempted far fewer passes in his last two seasons through five games than he did in the previous three seasons as a Packer. Notice that as a Jet and Viking, Favre's passer rating is over 100 through five games, which he didn't do from 2005-07 with Green Bay.


G W-L ATT COMP % YARDS TD INT RATING
2005 5 1-4
186 120 64.5 1256 12 8 87.6
2006 5 1-4
203 115 56.7 1275 7 5 76.7
2007 5 4-1
210 141 67.1 1527
9 4 94.7
2008 5 3-2
157 112 71.3 1124 13 6 103
2009 5 5-0
149 103 69.1 1069 9 2 104.1

Thursday, October 1, 2009

Predicting Week 4

Why are there bye weeks already in Week 4? They shouldn't start until at least Week 6.


Detroit at Chicago
With a win and a Packers loss, the Lions could be tied for second place in the NFC North at the end of Week 4. That would still be last place in the division, but how great would that feel for a team that has been dead last since...what feels like forever. If the Bears on-and-off run defense is off this week, the Lions might win this one. I like Jay Cutler to keep the turnovers down and have another solid 4th quarter. Bears 20 Lions 15.

Cincinnati at Cleveland
The Bengals defense is looking tough, and the Browns are awful. Derek Anderson is back under center, but that won't be enough. Bengals 20 Browns 6.

Seattle at Indianapolis
The Seahawks have a strange advantage over many NFL teams. Because Matt Hasselbeck has missed so many games the last couple years, Seneca Wallace has played a lot. They are one of the few teams that isn't doomed when the second quarterback has to start. Still, the Colts are home are almost a lock against a team like Seattle, Hasselbeck or not. Colts 31 Seahawks 20.

NY Giants at Kansas City
The Giants dominated an awful Tampa Bay team last week, and should follow the same script in Kansas City. If they do, they'll win easy. Remember Larry Johnson? Giants 28 Chiefs 13

Baltimore at New England
Baltimore is playing the best football of any team in the NFL. New England has sneeked away from three so-so games with a 2-1 record. This one will probably come down to whether Joe Flacco is successful throwing the ball; I don't think Flacco will be successful throwing the ball. Patriots 20 Ravens 17.

Tampa Bay at Washington
This is one ugly matchup. Tampa Bay is arguably the worst team in the league, and Washington plays like they can't wait for games to be over. Washington 17 Buccaneers 9.

Tennessee at Jacksonville
Tennessee absolutely has to win this week. That alone doesn't mean they will. Kerry Collins need to go back managing games--and doing it well--before Tennessee can turn this season around. Titans 30 Jaguars 17.

Oakland at Houston
Houston as been all over the place through three weeks. The Raiders have mostly just been bad. I'll assume that Matt Schaub will have a decent game. Texans 24 Raiders 10.

NY Jets at New Orleans
This is a huge game for two 3-0 teams. The Jets will have to "prove it" all season long; nobody is going to give them the benefit of the doubt with a rookie quarterback. If Drew Brees can beat the blitz, this will get ugly. The Saints defense is good enough to keep the Jets offense in check. Saints 28 Jets 16.

Buffalo at Miami
Chad Henne strikes fear into the hearts of nobody. Buffalo's pass rush has been very good, and now they will have two very good running backs to help Trent Edwards. Bills 27 Dolphins 20.

St. Louis at San Francisco
The 49ers are going to be talked about a lot in the next few seasons. They will likely take over the "team that is just a quarterback away." I like their run defense, I like their secondary, and obviously Patrick Willis is amazing. This is used to be a great rivalry, but it has been too long since both reams were relevant at the same time. 49ers 21 Rams 7.

Dallas at Denver
Denver may be a mirage right now, but Dallas can't be counted on for anything. Sure, their Monday night victory over Carolina was nice, but we can't be too quick to forget their Sunday night loss to the Giants in Week 2. Dallas tends to drift back towards that Week 2 team, the one that can score a lot, but not when they need to, and gives up way too many yards and points. If they keep running like they have been, maybe they can smooth out the wild inconsistency. Cowboys 31 Broncos 21.

San Diego at Pittsburgh
It's official. Losing Troy Polamalu was huge. With a defense as good as they've been, one wouldn't think they would lose games with Polamalu out. The Chargers might be better than I give them credit for. We'll see. Chargers 27 Steelers 17.

Green Bay at Minnesota
Forget all the Favre crap. This would have been a big either way. The Vikings have a chance to go to 4-0 and 2-0 against the NFC North. If the Packers 3-4 is effective against Adrian Peterson, they will win. Vikings 30 Packers 27.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Week 2 "Rankings"

This early in the season rankings just don't work. It is near-impossible attach a meaningful number in front of every team. So, I copped out and put them into equally meaningless categories.

These teams really should make the playoffs:
Atlanta: A pretty solid team all around, they don't have to lean to heavily on any part of the team. If they continue to hold serve, I like them to finish with double-digit wins.
Baltimore: Baltimore suddenly is not just a defensive team. They have score 38 and 31 so far, and the defense is just fine.
Indianapolis: The Colts are still pretty good. The offense will never get completely shut down this year.
New Orleans: Right now they are following that old super-offense path: Score an outrageous amount of points, and give your defense free rein to take a lot of chances with a lead.
New York Giants: Eli Manning may not be pretty, but he does a bit of his brother's winning streak in him. The Giants are still solid across the board, and it is hard to imagine them not at least grabbing a wildcard spot, even this early in the season.

I'll believe it when their 12-4 and hosting a playoff game, but until then...
Minnesota: It's still not clear if Brett Favre can make plays downfield. And where has that vaunted run defense been so far?
New York Jets: Is Mark Sanchez going to go down the Matt Ryan path this season? What happens when he falters?
Pittsburgh: Hard to believe that they lost to the Bears.
New England: Why are they passing so much? Until Tom Brady starts throwing more accurately, they are definitely beatable.
San Francisco: What will they do when somebody finally slows down Frank Gore? I'm not sure they have a passing game that get them to the playoffs.
Philadelphia: The longer McNabb is out, the further they get from the top of the NFC East.

Need Work:
Arizona: Kurt Warner had an amazing day against the Jaguars, but the Cardinals are still the same old from what we can tell so far.
Buffalo: The Bills defense looks good so far, especially against the run. The Saints will test them, but not many defenses are going to stop the Saints this year. The true test will be whether Trent Edwards and the offense has success against the so-so Saints defense.
Chicago: Jay Cutler has shown his two main traits: He can lose a game by himself, and win a game by himself.
Cincinnati:The Bengals defense is good, but it might need to be great to get this team into the playoffs.
Dallas: The Cowboys responded well to most of what they saw from the Giants this week, but Tony Romo has to be smarter with the ball, and that will be the deciding factor for Dallas this year.
Green Bay: Scoring on defense is great, but it doesn't do much good when you can't stop the run and give up 31 points. Oh, and Aaron Rodgers is getting hit, a lot.
Houston: Well, the offense isn't dead after all. The defense needs to play better against the run, but the Texans could still challenge the Colts this year.
San Diego: Inconsistency is their calling card.
Seattle: Without Matt Hasselbeck... well, they are not very good.
Tennessee: 0-2 already, and probably not thrilled to see that the Colts are still pretty good.

Teams that probably won't hang around past November, but aren't finished yet:
Carolina: An 0-2 start looks a lot worse when New Orleans and Atlanta are already 2-0 (one win against the Panthers). The worst part is that the Panthers don't really match up well with either of those teams, and could get swept by both.
Denver: The 2-0 start is nice, and San Diego doesn't look all that scary, but the Broncos will have to play a couple of good teams, and Oakland and Kansas City aren't pushovers for Denver anymore.
Miami: 0-2 in the AFC East is almost a deathknell. The Dolphins will have to do very well in their division schedule to catch up.
Oakland: JaMarcus Russell isn't very good.
Washington: They just can't seem to play full games, and sometimes the simplest things go awry.

Teams that I'm pretty sure are already finished:
Cleveland: No offense, no defense. Their return team is pretty good though.
Detroit: I have tried not to say anything about the Lions for a while now, but they are finally improving. Kevin Jones is a solid running back and their defense is a little better.
Jacksonville: The Jaguars can't throw the ball enough to make their offense a even a small threat, and their defense isn't that good either.
Kansas City: The Chiefs are still a long ways off. They just don't have the players right now.
St. Louis: Worst team in the NFL.
Tampa Bay: The Bucs defense is actually not horrible. Byron Leftwich probably won't start this entire season.

Friday, September 11, 2009

Week 1

Games that already happened:
Pittsburgh 13, Tennessee 10 (OT)
Any team that has Pittsburgh or Tennessee on their roster is not look forward to facing either of their defenses. These two pounded the crap out of each other into a fifth period, and Pittsburgh lost star Troy Polamalu for a month or so. Both offenses had a slew of bad penalties, mostly illegal formations and illegal motion violations. Otherwise, both teams have to like what they saw last night.

Games that already matter:
Miami at Atlanta
These teams shocked everybody last season by bouncing back from terrible 2007 records. Each brought in a new quarterback, rookie Matt Ryan in Atlanta, and new-old QB Chad Pennington in Miami. Miami is built to stay competitive, but Atlanta has questions: Will Ryan continue to play like a seasoned vet? Will the defense keep them in games?
Dolphins 31 Falcons 27

Philadelphia at Carolina
The Eagles offense should pick where they left off, and a couple games without Michael Vick in the lineup will make Donovan McNabb feel like he is still the 'man'. I think Jake Delhomme will not play 16 games this year, and it won't be because of injuries.
Eagles 27 Panthers 14

Washington at NY Giants
Whenever the Giants face a better than average defense this year, it will be hard to forecast a winner. Even with their running game, it is hard to hang your hat on Eli Manning and his current number one receiver, Steve Smith. Washington just has to limit turnovers and score in the red zone, and they could make the playoffs.
Washington 20 Giants 17

Chicago at Green Bay
Suddenly this is a battle of quarterbacks. I like Aaron Rodgers at home.
Packers 35 Bears 24

San Francisco at Arizona
A divisional matchup in Week 1 is a big deal, even if the division is the awful (in 2008) NFC West. Arizona has to prove that they really are an elite team, and San Francisco has to prove that they have improved from last year.
Cardinals 27 49ers 16

St. Louis at Seattle
A divisional match-up in Week 1 is a big deal, even if the division is the awful (in 2008) NFC West. St. Louis probably doesn't have a division title in their future, but the Seahawks will need this win for tiebreakers later.
Seahawks 20 Rams 10

Games that might be interesting:
Minnesota at Cleveland
As a Vikings fan, I will be very interested in this game. And then all those people who still care about Brett Favre will be watching. I expect Minnesota's defense to feast on Brady Quinn.
Vikings 30 Browns 10

Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Jacksonville always gets up for games against the Colts, even if they are a decided underdog.
Colts 21 Jaguars 10

Kansas City at Baltimore
The Ravens got a warning shot last night from the Steelers, who look like they haven't lost a step since last February. The Chiefs are hoping this is a rebuilding year where they actually build up.
Ravens 24 Chiefs 9

NY Jets at Houston
The Jets are being hyped a lot after stealing a lot of Baltimore's defense, and the Texans have (realistic) playoff expectations for the first time in their short history. At home, Matt Schaub should be able to handle the wild Jets D.
Texans 27 Jets 17

Games that probably won't be very interesting:
Denver at Cincinnati
Will Kyle Orton play or won't he? Who cares?
Bengals 20 Broncos 16

Detroit at New Orleans
Drew Brees gets a nice warm-up to start the season.
Saints 41 Lions 21

Dallas at Tampa Bay
Tony Romo breaks a sweat to start the season.
Cowboys 27 Buccaneers 13

Games that happen on Monday night:
Buffalo at New England
Tom Brady will look to set the pace for what many expect to be another record-setting season. The Bills will try to keep Trent Edwards off the ground as much as possible.
Patriots 31 Bills 21

San Diego at Oakland
Even without Shawn Merriman, should he face yet another suspension, the Chargers are far and away the best team in the AFC West.
Chargers 28 Raiders 7

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Predicting 2009

I did something I have never done before: Printed out an the entire NFL schedule for 2009, and predicted the winner for every single game. Thus, I arrived at the following predictions. I want to point out that doing it this way, while very precise and much more accurate, leds things to get a bit skewed. Had I just come up with records off the top of my head, surely the Eagles, Dolphins, and Ravens would not have racked up so many wins. But I'll stand by this tally.

AFC East
New England 13-3
Miami 12-4
Buffalo 6-10
New York 4-12

AFC North
Baltimore 12-4
Pittsburgh 10-6
Cincinnati 8-8
Cleveland 4-12

AFC South
Houston 10-6
Indianapolis 9-7
Jacksonville 8-8
Tennessee 8-8

AFC West
San Diego 10-6
Kansas City 5-11
Denver 3-13
Oakland 3-13

NFC East
Philadelphia 13-3
New York 10-6
Dallas 8-7
Washington 7-9

NFC North
Minnesota 11-5
Chicago 9-7
Green Bay 8-8
Detroit 4-12

NFC South
Atlanta 10-6
New Orleans 10-6
Carolina 8-8
Tampa Bay 4-12

NFC West
Seattle 10-6
Arizona 8-8
San Francisco 6-10
St. Louis 5-11

AFC Wildcard
San Diego over Miami
Pittsburgh over Houston

AFC Divisional
Baltimore over San Diego
New England over Pittsburgh

AFC Championship
New England over Baltimore

NFC Wildcard
New Orleans over Atlanta
New York over Seattle

NFC Divisional
Minnesota over New Orleans
New York over Philadelphia

NFC Championship
Minnesota over New York

Super Bowl
New England over Minnesota


*Note that the NFC Playoffs are eerily similar to the 2000 NFC Playoffs. A coincidence, for sure.

Friday, August 21, 2009

The only answer

There are a lot of reasons why I didn't want Brett Favre to sign with the Vikings. I don't really need to go over them again, as much as I would like to. But, I do understand that there are a couple of reasons why the Vikings did make this move.

The fact of the matter is that this was a decision that came from years of ineptitude in the front office, in the coaching staff, and on the field. The Vikings have become a team that a lot of people either don't like or don't care much about. And that is true in Minnesota. Everybody knows about the loyalty and conviction of Kansas City Chiefs fans, Pittsburgh Steelers fans, and Denver Broncos fans. It takes a lot to get them down. This is not, and never really has been the case in Minnesota. Many people in Minnesota feel one or a couple of the following things about the Vikings: that they are unwilling to spend money or spend it wisely; that they are chokers; that they, until recently, were a team full of thugs; and, most importantly, that they will never win a Super Bowl.

Because this viewpoint has been born of years of arrests, playoff losses, and interceptions, something big had to happen to regain the support of Viking nation. Adding to the urgency, the Vikings play in arguably the worst stadium in professional football. The Metrodome, now nearing 30 years old, is finished. The lease is up in 2011, and at one point there was hope that a new stadium would be available by then. But it is too late for that now. The Minnesota Twins will move into a brand-new downtown stadium next spring, and the University of Minnesota Golden Gophers football team will begin playing at their new field on campus this September. The Vikings couldn't manage to work out a deal to continue to share a space with the University (the Gophers played their home games at the Metrodome until this year), so now they are left trying to find funding for a stadium in a community where a lot of money was just spent to build two new fields.

Attendance has been down the last two season, with blackouts being avoided only when local television stations have ponied up to buy remaining tickets--they have no choice, since a blackout would result in their losing a lot of cash from advertisers. Since Zigi Wilf took over as owner of the team, a slow and steady change has occurred. Wilf brought in Brad Childress as head coach, and the two helped clean up the locker room, getting rid of players with 'histories', and replacing them with guys like Chester Taylor and Steve Hutchinson. The team hit the jackpot with Adrian Peterson, and has managed to make some pretty big moves through free agency and trades, bringing in big name and big production guys like Hutchinson, Bernard Berrian, and Jared Allen.

All of this has been nice, and I'm sure it's appreciated by Vikings fans. But support is still waning. Why? Because the team does not win. Last year they made their first playoff appearance of the Wilf/Childress era, but it has become clear that until the team addresses the quarterback position, the rest is for naught.

Enter Brett Favre.

Today I become a card-carrying conspiracy theorist. Well, what I'm about to propose isn't exactly a conspiracy; it's more of a marketing/publicity plan. Here goes: The signing of Brett Favre by the Minnesota Vikings is not, in fact, a desperate move to try to squeeze a Super Bowl victory out of a talented team in 2009; rather, it is a measured attempt to bring back some credibility and excitement to a team that hasn't had either of those things in years, and a shot at making the Vikings "the team" during first few seasons of the next decade.

What am I talking about? At first glance, signing Favre this year didn't seem to me like enough to help with future ticket sales or a bid for a stadium. But after mulling it over, it starts to make sense. A lot of people are up in arms about the timing of the deal, and the effect it will have in the locker room. Surely, allowing Favre to skip training camp and then come in and be named the starting quarterback on his first day--at a cool $12 million--is going to rile up some distrust and some jealousy. But that is OK for the final purpose this move is trying to serve.

This is more about winning over the fans, the media, the NFL, and future free agents than it is about the 2009 team. I mean to suggest that the Vikings are not trying to win a Super Bowl this year. In fact, it would be better if they didn't win the Super Bowl. What the Vikings have done is put people in the seats, put themselves in the position to sell a bunch of purple #4 jerseys, and prepared themselves to make some big moves in the 2010 offseason.

With Tarvaris Jackson and Sage Rosenfels, the Vikings could very realistically have expected to win the division, maybe win a home playoff game, and have a decent season. Unfortunately, everybody 'knew' that there was no chance for them to actually win the Super Bowl with those quarterbacks. Signing Favre is a debatable football move; many think he makes them the best team in the NFC, and most of the critics of the move admit that he at least makes them better off than they were without him. If all goes to plan, they will win 10 or 11 or maybe even 12 games, and make a little playoff run. Either way, with Favre in the mix, the perception is that there is at least a chance they can go all the way. But if all goes to plan, they will not reach the Super Bowl.

How could that be? Because in 2010, neither Brett Favre or Brad Childress will be in town. Essentially, they are being used as pawns. Childress is the out front in the Favre recruitment because he is the head coach; he even picked him up from the airport. But in the best case scenario, Childress is not the Vikings head coach in 2010. There are too many qualified and proven guys available, and if the Vikings land one of those guys, coming off of two straight playoff appearances, they will have gained more than anybody expected they could have from signing Favre.

Bill Cowher, Mike Shanahan, Tony Dungy, Mike Holmgren, Brian Billick, and Jon Gruden are all without jobs this season. Surely Shanahan and Billick will be ready to take a job soon, and Cowher seems to be waiting for the perfect situation. Dungy and Holmgren will insist that they are done for good, but if the right offer came along, do we really believe they would pass? Let's consider two 'positive' outcomes to the Favre signing:

One possibility is that Favre proves to be exactly what the Vikings needed; they have a successful regular season, make it through the NFC playoffs, and make their first Super Bowl appearance in over 30 thirty years. Yes, many people would be very excited about this. Here's the problem: this option leaves the Vikings with no future. Brett Favre cannot play again in 2010, unless the level of desperation (from both parties) reaches absurdity unimaginable. And, frankly, if the team makes it that far, they have to re-up with Childress, and that is nothing but bad news.

On the other hand, say the Vikings go 10-6, win a playoff game, then bow out. Favre retires, and the Vikings land Cowher or Shanahan or Dungy. Suddenly, in February of 2010, they still have this incredibly talented roster, Sage Rosenfels has learned the offense and watched a future Hall of Famer run it, and if they really want to, they have a few months to look for a better quarterback, if there is one available. Let's face it, risky or not, if this roster was caoched by one of those guys mentioned above, making a big trade for a quarterback like Donovan McNabb or even Carson Palmer or Marc Bulger would be worth whatever they had to give up. Or stick with Rosenfels, and use that first round pick to add even more talent to this stacked roster. Oh, and all the distrust and animosity towards the head coach? He'll be gone, and in his place somebody who demands respect, and deserves it.

Can anybody honestly say that the Vikings would not be scary with a proven, elite head coach? Given their roster, a serviceable quarterback, and free reign over the team, would it not be reasonable to expect one or two Super Bowl appearances from a coach like Cowher? I think it very reasonable. Conspiracy theory or not, as a Vikings fan I almost have to hope that this is the outcome. How else will I make it through this year?

Sunday, January 18, 2009

Disturbing

I saw this on Viking Update this morning, and even though I was fully aware of how bad the Vikings special teams was this year, seeing it laid out this way made me vomit repeatedly. Makes me wonder how Minnesota even won 10 games.

Friday, January 9, 2009

One week later

This photo seems an apt way to sum up the Vikings season. A couple days late, but you'll understand: